Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.000144 0.000161 0.000178 0.000198 0.000221 0.000245 0.000273
2025-09-21 0.000122 0.000145 0.000171 0.000202 0.000239 0.000281 0.000334
2025-09-28 0.000106 0.000132 0.000163 0.000203 0.000253 0.000314 0.000393
2025-10-05 0.000092 0.000120 0.000155 0.000203 0.000264 0.000343 0.000450
2025-10-12 0.000083 0.000113 0.000152 0.000207 0.000281 0.000379 0.000519
2025-10-19 0.000075 0.000106 0.000147 0.000207 0.000293 0.000409 0.000582
2025-10-26 0.000068 0.000099 0.000142 0.000207 0.000301 0.000436 0.000642
2025-11-02 0.000062 0.000093 0.000137 0.000206 0.000310 0.000462 0.000703
2025-11-09 0.000057 0.000088 0.000133 0.000206 0.000319 0.000489 0.000767
2025-11-16 0.000052 0.000082 0.000128 0.000203 0.000323 0.000510 0.000822
2025-11-23 0.000048 0.000078 0.000124 0.000202 0.000331 0.000535 0.000886
2025-11-30 0.000045 0.000074 0.000122 0.000203 0.000340 0.000563 0.000957
2025-12-07 0.000041 0.000070 0.000118 0.000201 0.000345 0.000587 0.001024
2025-12-14 0.000039 0.000068 0.000116 0.000204 0.000358 0.000624 0.001118
2025-12-21 0.000036 0.000065 0.000114 0.000204 0.000369 0.000657 0.001209
2025-12-28 0.000034 0.000062 0.000111 0.000204 0.000376 0.000685 0.001291
2026-01-04 0.000032 0.000060 0.000111 0.000208 0.000392 0.000731 0.001411
2026-01-11 0.000030 0.000058 0.000109 0.000208 0.000402 0.000766 0.001512
2026-01-18 0.000029 0.000056 0.000106 0.000207 0.000409 0.000795 0.001605
2026-01-25 0.000027 0.000053 0.000103 0.000207 0.000415 0.000825 0.001701
2026-02-01 0.000025 0.000051 0.000101 0.000206 0.000424 0.000858 0.001807
2026-02-08 0.000024 0.000049 0.000098 0.000204 0.000426 0.000880 0.001891
2026-02-15 0.000022 0.000047 0.000096 0.000203 0.000433 0.000911 0.001997